Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.068983 0.076374 0.084477 0.094066 0.105160 0.117662 0.132915
2024-11-03 0.057943 0.067979 0.079884 0.095236 0.114779 0.139212 0.172696
2024-11-10 0.050512 0.061944 0.076367 0.096302 0.123811 0.161503 0.219074
2024-11-17 0.044660 0.056682 0.072603 0.095886 0.130267 0.181307 0.267437
2024-11-24 0.040718 0.053211 0.070458 0.096968 0.138603 0.205262 0.329384
2024-12-01 0.037616 0.050399 0.068692 0.098076 0.146876 0.230745 0.402758
2024-12-08 0.035010 0.047930 0.067009 0.098880 0.154578 0.256906 0.487719
2024-12-15 0.032612 0.045475 0.064990 0.098726 0.160432 0.280978 0.578905
2024-12-22 0.030323 0.042943 0.062531 0.097407 0.163801 0.300875 0.669971
2024-12-29 0.028984 0.041736 0.062029 0.099353 0.173669 0.337208 0.825486
2025-01-05 0.027163 0.039601 0.059765 0.097773 0.176115 0.357423 0.946896
2025-01-12 0.025981 0.038394 0.058932 0.098718 0.184001 0.393251 1.147506
2025-01-19 0.024607 0.036787 0.057298 0.097995 0.188314 0.422036 1.351555
2025-01-26 0.023666 0.035836 0.056734 0.099323 0.197666 0.468496 1.684042
2025-02-02 0.022784 0.034915 0.056132 0.100490 0.206926 0.518799 2.108789
2025-02-09 0.021768 0.033689 0.054856 0.100066 0.212145 0.558805 2.546447
2025-02-16 0.021037 0.032909 0.054343 0.101218 0.221775 0.618694 3.246690
2025-02-23 0.020365 0.032185 0.053871 0.102394 0.231790 0.685639 4.197592
2025-03-02 0.019707 0.031441 0.053291 0.103247 0.241139 0.755762 5.448898
2025-03-09 0.018989 0.030543 0.052331 0.103084 0.247492 0.817471 6.912705
2025-03-16 0.018199 0.029464 0.050927 0.101688 0.249776 0.862572 8.428351
2025-03-23 0.017801 0.029092 0.050932 0.103748 0.263682 0.975101 12.128618
2025-03-30 0.017081 0.028071 0.049518 0.102075 0.264841 1.021968 14.969363